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ATP · Hard

ATP Tokyo 2026

Tokyo, Japan 28 Sep 2026 – 6 Oct 2026 Best of 3 · 42 players

On this page you can view ATP Tokyo analysis and predictions. Player form, head-to-head records, and surface data are taken into account, and predictions are automatically generated by AI with an accuracy of over 63.4%.

41
Predicted
0
Upcoming
63.4%
Success
Players to Watch
CA C. Alcaraz ATP C. Alcaraz TF T. Fritz ATP T. Fritz RJ R. Jódar ATP R. Jódar VV V. Vacherot ATP V. Vacherot AB A. Blockx ATP A. Blockx AD A. Davidovich ATP A. Davidovich AF A. Fery ATP A. Fery AF A. Fils ATP A. Fils AK A. Kovačević ATP A. Kovačević AM A. Michelsen ATP A. Michelsen AT A. Tabilo ATP A. Tabilo AV A. Vallejo ATP A. Vallejo BN B. Nakashima ATP B. Nakashima CR C. Ruud ATP C. Ruud CU C. Ugo ATP C. Ugo DS D. Shapovalov ATP D. Shapovalov FT F. Tiafoe ATP F. Tiafoe JF J. Faria ATP J. Faria JL J. Lehečka ATP J. Lehečka JM J. Munar ATP J. Munar KJ K. Jacquet ATP K. Jacquet KM K. Majchrzak ATP K. Majchrzak KN K. Nishikori ATP K. Nishikori LD L. Darderi ATP L. Darderi LS L. Sonego ATP L. Sonego LA L. Van Assche ATP L. Van Assche MA M. Arnaldi ATP M. Arnaldi MB M. Berrettini ATP M. Berrettini MJ M. Damm Jr ATP M. Damm Jr MG M. Giron ATP M. Giron RH R. Hijikata ATP R. Hijikata RS R. Sakamoto ATP R. Sakamoto SM S. Mochizuki ATP S. Mochizuki SS S. Shimabukuro ATP S. Shimabukuro ST S. Tsitsipas ATP S. Tsitsipas TD T. Daniel ATP T. Daniel TE T. Etcheverry ATP T. Etcheverry TP T. Paul ATP T. Paul UH U. Humbert ATP U. Humbert YN Y. Nishioka ATP Y. Nishioka ZB Z. Bergs ATP Z. Bergs ZS Z. Svajda ATP Z. Svajda
Tournament Insights
63.4%
AI Prediction Accuracy
59%
Straight Sets Wins
41%
Deciding Set
29%
Tiebreak Matches
2.4
Avg. Sets per Match
Matches by round
Final 1
10:00 Finished 1000
ES C. Alcaraz (1)
CZ J. Lehečka
2 0
▴1.3 ▾4
1 ▴1.3
643662
1 ▴1.3
4.8/10
Semi-Finals 2
08:10 Finished 0810
ES C. Alcaraz (1)
ES J. Munar (Q)
2 1
▴1.11 ▾7.2
1 ▴1.11
6463
1 ▴1.11
8.9/10
11:05 Finished 1105
CZ J. Lehečka
MC V. Vacherot (8)
2 0
▾1.51 ▴2.65
2 ▴2.65
466336
U30.5 1.3
4.4/10
Quarter-Finals 3
03:00 Finished 0300
ES J. Munar (Q)
FR K. Jacquet
2 0
▴1.65 ▾2.32
2 ▾2.32
4667
U29.5 1.28
5.1/10
08:00 Finished 0800
MC V. Vacherot (8)
FR A. Fils (Q)
2 1
▾4.1 ▴1.24
2 ▴1.24
6746
U29.5 ▴1.29
4.2/10
10:35 Finished 1035
CZ J. Lehečka
PY A. Vallejo (Q)
2 0
▾1.34 ▴3.3
1 ▾1.34
366364
U29.5 ▾1.27
4.9/10
Round of 16 8
3 Oct 2026
03:00 Finished 0300
CA D. Shapovalov
CL A. Tabilo
2 1
▴1.68 ▾2.2
2 ▾2.2
633646
U29.5 1.3
4.1/10
05:30 Finished 0530
ES C. Alcaraz (1)
IT M. Arnaldi
2 0
▾1.05 ▴11
1 ▾1.05
6364
1 ▾1.05
10.0/10
08:00 Finished 0800
IT M. Berrettini
PY A. Vallejo (Q)
0 2
▴1.59 ▾2.4
1 ▴1.59
466363
U29.5 ▴1.29
1.8/10
10:05 Finished 1005
FR U. Humbert
CZ J. Lehečka
1 2
▾2.48 ▴1.62
2 ▴1.62
466336
U30.5 ▴1.29
5.2/10
2 Oct 2026
03:00 Finished 0300
ES J. Munar (Q)
PT J. Faria (LL)
2 0
▾1.61 ▴2.4
1 ▾1.61
6476
U28.5 ▴1.34
4.3/10
04:25 Finished 0425
MC V. Vacherot (8)
GR S. Tsitsipas (Q)
2 1
▾2.5 ▴1.63
1 ▾2.5
7664
U30.5 1.29
4.3/10
08:50 Finished 0850
FR K. Jacquet
IT L. Darderi
2 0
2.16 1.7
2 1.7
466336
U29.5 ▾1.3
5.5/10
10:40 Finished 1040
FR A. Fils (Q)
US F. Tiafoe (2)
2 0
▾1.44 ▴3.15
1 ▾1.44
624663
U29.5 ▴1.28
4.9/10
3rd Round 15
1 Oct 2026
03:00 Finished 0300
IT L. Darderi
NO C. Ruud
2 0
▾2.87 ▴1.5
2 ▴1.5
4636
2 ▴1.5
3.7/10
03:00 Finished 0300
US T. Fritz (3)
ES J. Munar
1 2
▴1.3 ▾3.55
1 ▴1.3
6364
1 ▴1.3
2.1/10
03:05 Finished 0305
PT J. Faria
GB A. Fery
2 1
▴1.86 ▴2.02
2 ▴2.02
634636
U28.5 1.44
5.4/10
03:10 Finished 0310
US B. Nakashima
FR U. Humbert
0 2
▴1.45 ▾2.85
1 ▴1.45
466362
1 ▴1.45
4.5/10
04:35 Finished 0435
AR T. Etcheverry
GR S. Tsitsipas
1 2
▾3.5 ▴1.33
1 ▾3.5
6476
U30.5 ▾1.25
5.1/10
06:00 Finished 0600
CZ J. Lehečka
BE Z. Bergs
2 1
▴1.37 ▾3.25
2 ▾3.25
633646
U28.5 ▴1.32
1.5/10
06:15 Finished 0615
JP K. Nishikori
US F. Tiafoe
0 2
▾5 ▴1.2
2 ▴1.2
3646
2 ▴1.2
10.0/10
07:00 Finished 0700
CA D. Shapovalov
JP S. Shimabukuro
2 0
▴1.35 ▾3.65
1 ▴1.35
466362
1 ▴1.35
6.1/10
08:40 Finished 0840
ES C. Alcaraz
US A. Michelsen
2 1
▴1.17 ▾5.4
1 ▴1.17
6364
1 ▴1.17
5.3/10
10:25 Finished 1025
ES A. Davidovich
IT M. Berrettini
1 2
▾1.66 ▴2.28
2 ▴2.28
643646
U30.5 ▾1.28
3.9/10
11:30 Finished 1130
PY A. Vallejo
ES R. Jódar (4)
2 0
▾4.5 ▴1.23
2 ▴1.23
4636
2 ▴1.23
10.0/10
30 Sep 2026
03:00 Finished 0300
MC V. Vacherot
BE A. Blockx
2 0
▾2.18 ▴1.71
1 ▾2.18
366364
U30.5 1.3
4.7/10
05:30 Finished 0530
CL A. Tabilo
US T. Paul
2 0
▾3.2 ▴1.36
2 ▴1.36
633646
2 ▴1.36
6.0/10
08:00 Finished 0800
FR A. Fils
FR L. Van Assche
2 0
▾1.16 ▴5.8
1 ▾1.16
366362
1 ▾1.16
7.7/10
09:50 Finished 0950
IT M. Arnaldi
JP R. Sakamoto
2 1
▴2.18 ▾1.7
2 ▾1.7
643626
U29.5 ▾1.29
4.9/10
Qualifying 12
29 Sep 2026
03:00 Finished 0300
GR S. Tsitsipas
AU R. Hijikata
2 0
▾1.28 ▴3.65
1 ▾1.28
7664
1 ▾1.28
2.1/10
04:00 Finished 0400
ES J. Munar
US A. Kovačević
2 0
▾1.59 ▴2.32
1 ▾1.59
7664
O20.5 1.41
3.6/10
04:30 Finished 0430
FR A. Fils
PL K. Majchrzak
2 1
▾1.2 ▴4.3
1 ▾1.2
6364
1 ▾1.2
10.0/10
06:20 Finished 0620
PY A. Vallejo
PT J. Faria
2 1
▾2.44 ▴1.54
1 ▾2.44
633664
O20.5 ▾1.54
1.0/10
28 Sep 2026
03:00 Finished 0300
AU R. Hijikata
AR C. Ugo
2 0
▴1.37 ▾3.15
1 ▴1.37
6364
1 ▴1.37
4.5/10
03:00 Finished 0300
GR S. Tsitsipas
JP Y. Nishioka
2 0
▴1.07 ▾7.5
1 ▴1.07
6061
2:0 ▴1.29
3.8/10
04:30 Finished 0430
US Z. Svajda
US A. Kovačević
1 2
▴1.55 ▾2.4
1 ▴1.55
6476
1 ▴1.55
4.8/10
04:45 Finished 0445
FR A. Fils
US M. Damm Jr
2 1
▴1.19 ▾4.6
1 ▴1.19
6463
1 ▴1.19
10.0/10
06:55 Finished 0655
ES J. Munar
US M. Giron
2 1
▴1.55 ▾2.55
1 ▴1.55
466362
1 ▴1.55
3.9/10
07:50 Finished 0750
JP S. Mochizuki
PT J. Faria
0 2
▾2.7 ▴1.45
2 ▴1.45
4636
2 ▴1.45
5.6/10
09:20 Finished 0920
PY A. Vallejo
JP T. Daniel
2 0
▴2.2 ▾1.78
1 ▴2.2
6476
O20.5 ▴1.55
1.0/10
09:45 Finished 0945
IT L. Sonego
PL K. Majchrzak
0 2
2.23 ▴1.62
2 ▴1.62
466336
O20.5 ▴1.45
1.0/10
Title Contenders
1ESC. Alcaraz21%
2USF. Tiafoe8%
3UST. Fritz6%
4FRA. Fils6%
5ESR. Jódar4%
6USB. Nakashima4%
Hard

The model weights hardcourt-specific form for every tie at this event.

42
Main draw
Best of 3
Format

How ATP Tokyo 2026 played out

This was a compact field — 42 players from 18 countries — with world No. 3 the highest-ranked name in it. C. Alcaraz took the title without dropping a set in the final, beating J. Lehečka.

The longest match of the event ran to 34 games, A. Vallejo against J. Faria. The draw split almost down the middle: 24 of the 41 completed matches finished in straight sets, 17 went to a deciding set.

Total prize money for the event is 2,046,340 USD. Our record here stands at 63% on best tips, measured over 41 decided matches. The model weights hardcourt-specific form for every tie at this event.

Frequently asked questions

What surface is ATP Tokyo played on?

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ATP Tokyo is played on Hard. Surface type significantly affects match dynamics — our AI factors in each player's surface-specific performance when generating predictions.

How accurate are AI predictions for ATP Tokyo?

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Our AI has achieved an overall accuracy of 63.4% on best-tip predictions for ATP Tokyo, based on 41 decided matches. The figure is updated as new matches are graded.

How many matches have been analyzed at ATP Tokyo?

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Our AI has analyzed a total of 41 matches at ATP Tokyo. For each match, we provide predictions on winner, score, aces, break points, total games, and other detailed statistics.

When is ATP Tokyo played?

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Based on our data, ATP Tokyo matches were played from 28 Sep 2026 to 6 Oct 2026. Tournament dates may vary slightly each year — check back for updated predictions as the draw is announced.

18+ · Predictions are AI-generated for informational use · We never place bets on your behalf